Monday April 4, 2011 23:59

James Dines Predicts A Purchasing Panic In Uranium

Posted by john as Pensions Planning



More than the years, Dines effectively forecast the Web mania, forecasting the giants with the tech boom, and forecasting the tech bust. A gold bug once more, Dines also added uranium because the steel to watch above the arriving years, saying, “This is my way of playing the whole arriving power boom.”

Interviewer: You have been calling a bull industry in uranium and, once once again, you have been the initial voice inside the now-growing crowd of uranium bulls.

James Dines: What a surprise.

Interviewer: Why are you bullish on uranium?

James Dines: It is really essential to get into a bull market early. The earlier, the better. Which is when the biggest percentage gains are produced. That’s why we got into the Internets very early. We got stopped out in 2000. We were in cash for a year after which went to metals, because the solution to perform the China boom in 2001. We’re still in those. In 2002, we turned bullish on uranium being a unique way to perform the coming boom in the entire power complex.

Interviewer: But why uranium, as opposed to one more sort of metal?

James Dines: Basically, the western globe demand is outpacing supply by about 300 million pounds a year. Global uranium use, excluding the developing usage by China as well as the former Soviet Union, is running at around 155 million pounds a year, as compared with global production of only close to 94 million pounds. You can find only about 500 customers for this stuff, not counting terrorists (joke) Because of that, it is not a regular commodity. The public can not go and acquire uranium. In August 2003, there was a shocking blackout in Canada. The utilities had been shaken. They realized when they do not pay attention, the lights go out. That was a kick in the shin for utilities to start immediate expense in the infrastructure of the electricity grid. But what is totally under the world’s radar is the fact that nuclear plants are also concerned about a shortage of uranium. If they run out of uranium, the lights go out. You can not switch to an additional fuel. You can’t toss one more log on the fire, so to speak. Because of that, there is a developing panic among the buyers. That is why I became what I’m calling myself: The Original Uranium Bug. And calling, or predicting, the arriving Uranium Melt Up and getting panic.

Interviewer: A panic above uranium. Why do you say that?

James Dines: There is planning to become a getting panic. The bottom line is always that in 2002, there have been 441 nuclear reactors worldwide and an additional 34 below construction. Six new reactors commenced commercial production in 2002, three in China, two in South Korea and 1 in Japan. There was construction begun on six reactors in India and four in South Korea. You can find much more units returning in Finland, Russia, Ukraine, Romania, and Brazil. China announced recently they had been going to develop five more nuclear facilities. All with the governments with the globe are already frightened by the talk of the difficulty in acquiring oil. I wouldn’t be surprised if much more of them started building up their strategic oil reserves because the US has done. That would turbo the entire carbon-based fuel crisis increased. That makes nuclear a lot more than a competitor. The price tag of uranium hit $7.10 on Christmas Day 2000, after which commenced a lower, quiet and slow climb. The bottom line, which I outlined in my book on Mass Psychology, is the fact that a new bull marketplace must be invisible to the crowd. The corollary to that’s when you see bandwagon on Wall Street, you might be too late.

Interviewer: Some are making predictions of $50 uranium or even greater. What do you think?

James Dines: $50, $60, anything at all is feasible. If you’re running a utility and your selection was obtaining uranium at any cost or having the lights go out, which would you do? This is my means of actively playing the entire returning power boom. I believe it is the smartest way. This really is unique. This metal is just not there. We’re just not planning to have it.

Interviewer: How a lot of the role does Cameco (NYSE: CCJ) play in this market?

James Dines: They control the world’s largest high-grade reserves and low-cost operations, commanding position. They supply close to 20 % of the western world’s uranium. It’s actually America’s only uranium producer, in Wyoming and Nebraska. Around 20 % of America’s vitality is produced by nuclear. That accounts for around 35 % from the western world’s consumption.

Interviewer: Is there any other solution to perform the uranium bull market?

James Dines: There’s no other method to perform it, as far I know of. The utilities buy the stuff so you can’t buy the metal. There is no other way. Which is why I such as the uranium means of playing the power boom. Some of my other predictions, like the Arriving Age of the End of Petroleum – this century is heading to see the end with the petroleum age. We’re heading to use it up. You’ve China and India arriving onstream. You’ve got the automobile age coming to those two countries. Not even a single % of their citizens own vehicles yet. With all these cars arriving onstream, suddenly everybody is frightened about nailing down their petroleum supplies. I really don’t have to tell you how explosive the Middle East might be. Something could occur there. A revolution in Saudi Arabia – the most important actual estate about the planet and it is being gunned after by not just Al Qaedah, but every other huge player on the land mass is saying, we require oil. That’s where the pool is. As that pool shrinks, it’s actually planning to turn out to be a lot more and a lot more useful. There will probably be a lot more of a stampede into other power sources. You already see it going into coal and natural gas. Unless they’re planning to start putting windmills on vehicles, it’s above. When it will finish, who knows?

Interviewer: Any guesses?

James Dines: You hear all kinds of guesses. There were only so many dinosaurs and ferns. It is finite, and it can be dirt inexpensive. Individuals snivel at $1.67 for gasoline, but they pay $10/gallon for Gatorade. White-out is $25/gallon. Evian is $21/gallon. Pepto-Bismol is $123/gallon. People have no concept of how higher oil is planning to go. Oil is going to go via the roof. A sound power portfolio must definitely include some oils. But to me, the center from the chessboard is heading to become uranium. It is going to obtain a lot worse just before it gets much better. Once you begin acquiring sky-high prices for oil, there is no limit to what uranium could do. Even with an accelerated drilling program, it is going to take many years to bring it on. And they haven’t even started it yet. There’s an energy crisis coming of the very first magnitude.

James Dines, editor of the Dines Letter since 1960, has been creating recommendations to investors for above 40 a long time. Recommendations with the Dines Letter are depending on mass psychology, technical and fundamental economics thus studying both the organization and investor behavior. Mr. Dines’ insights have gained him a reputation as a well-renowned, extremely respected and regarded expense advisor.

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